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      What can we learn from "early hikers"?

      "Early hikers remain on track to mostly avoid recessions despite (on average) raising policy rates by 900bp. GDP growth remains positive in almost all countries, averaging around 2% in recent quarters, and unemployment rates have mostly trended downward, including since the start of 2023."

      What can we learn from "early hikers"?
      Source: Goldman
      Mighty KWEB

      China tech continues moving higher post that great break out we outlined early last week. Chart 2 shows BABA, a play we pointed out in late August (here). The stock broke above huge resistance levels and momentum is huge. Our general take on China tech (BABA included) is to not forget to roll those call spreads into higher strikes as we move higher.

      Mighty KWEB
      Source: LSEG Workspace
      Mighty KWEB
      Source: LSEG Workspace
      You are here

      VIX seasonality is about to kick in right now...

      You are here
      Source: Equity Clock
      VIX speculators mania

      Slightly simplified way of looking at things as there are many offsetting positions in the volatility world, but still worth taking a look at the great VIX spec short.

      VIX speculators mania
      Source: LSEG Workspace