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One of the peculiarities of 2022 was that stocks and bonds began to trade in tandem (generally lower). While there were a few brief periods of time last year when the rolling 20D correlation between the SPX and the 10YY was positive, it spent an incredible amount of time in the red. This is actually reversing and we may have finally reached a point where the asset classes diverge. This could be important to watch, as it would suggest that the rate outlook is finally approaching ‘digested’.

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