From "sad September" to "optimistic October"
TME Daily: Hedgies retreat, tech tanks and energy's blaze
TME Daily: Hedgies retreat, tech tanks and energy's blaze
Rates Rock and Roll: America no better than Greece
3 charts we are watching: Systematic Tsunami
Market's wake-up call
3 charts we are watching: Make or break
VIX awakens
Volatility - the dormant beast
3 charts we are watching: Oil reversing
We need to talk about inflation...
TME daily: Prime time for affordable hedging
3 charts we are watching: What is the next delta in housing?
10 things you need to know about the oil rally
High conviction neutral
3 charts we are watching: tired generals
TME weekend: Tech unraveling, cheap hedges and oil chasing
The 12 things you need to know on investor positioning
Is today the start of VIX perfection?
3 charts we are watching: what are we actually trading?
Fear in freefall
Incremental reasons to try a contrarian long in China
3 charts we are watching: bond volatility at 7 months low
AI aristocracy, Russell roulette and luxury's double-edged sword
A few more weeks of weaker seasonality and then a year-end melt-up?
Oil mania
3 charts we are watching: Remember, VIX seasonality starts now
Oops on inflation
TME daily: chasing fa(i)t
"It is so wrong that it might actually be right"
MoJo in the DoJo: Musk has the world in an Anakonda Chokehold
3 charts we are watching: Squeeze potential; really?
TME Weekend: You come at the king, you best not miss
Fat is the new gold
Stuck in no man's land
Fade or fad
Enjoy it while it lasts, 'cause it never does
Frustration running high
Sudden fear: As Apple goes…
Butterfly effects? Risk is global
Riding the rate rollercoaster
Europe: You would not believe it
That massive disconnect from rates. Why is it so?
"You buy protection when you can, not when you must"
Yield puzzles, oil sizzles and 4800 dreamzzz
Are we ready to party like it is 1999?
Bond MOVEs and tech trust
Landing me softly: Earnings now a backstop for equities
TME Weekend: I have abandoned my fear
Black gold booms
3 oil charts we are watching
Puts tumbling, oil teasing and QT thundering
Calm waters all of September?
From bears to bulls to AI booms
Trend trauma - massive systematic flow
Time for gold
From oversold to overdrive
Inverse panic mania in volatility
3 charts we are watching: contrarian in bonds
Fearless VIX is back
Crowded tech crowd
3 charts we are watching: crashing fear
TME Weekend: All caught up
Do we add this one to the textbooks?
Nasty NASDAQ
4 charts we are watching in volatility land
NVDA: "the time to worry is not now...."
NASDAQ loving it
Rates vs equities at an extreme
Can tech dismiss rising rates?
3 random charts we are watching
Extreme sentiment swings
Only 5% down and some things flashing oversold already…
Crying China
TME Weekend: Tail risks
Meadow Lane mellow
Meadow Lane mellow
It's like déjà vu all over again
5 charts we are watching: Cash is not Trash
Nobody knows nothing
"this is no longer a buy-the-dip market"
Never bet against the American family formation
Fast money & systematic sellers hit the structural bid
She moves in mysterious ways
Are we wrong not to be max long?
Re-grossing again. Positioning at the 99th percentile
TME Weekend: Extremely many "extremes"
Some stuff is hot (again) and some is not
Intraday volatility surge intensifies market risks
No longer muted
The rally is over
Tactical headwinds
Market teasing with big levels
Green shoots of fear
CTA & vol control funds reflect extreme downside convexity
Market in agony and pain
Apple matters
Rates matter
TME Weekend: "Not a rosy picture"
Cracks in the market
Stressed on a Friday
Rates mania...and potential equity selling
No panic here (yet)
Volatility spikes as fear returns
Beyond the downgrade...
Dollar, rates and the MOVE(s)
Say hello to August
Alpha agony and the "inevitable" pullback
The long is longer
SPX bull, euro pitfalls, and China's wildcard
The bull run's new normal
Muted earnings cheers, inflation puzzles and a China squeeze
Optimism or complacency - hedge it
Hated hot banks
Crowded trades, retail frenzy and the pain trade
Fearless FOMC
The long is very long
Crude awakening
Chip slip and the tech tumble
The China shit-show no one saw coming
Here we go housing
Tech cools, retail rages and some madness
Even "revolutions" need to take a break
Evaporated bears
Inverted fear
There is always a squeeze somewhere
Here we go housing
Volatility and the "natural" floor
Cash flood, beta surge and the recession ghost
Sentiment and positioning: stretched is the new normal
"Implied Bid" defies overbought markets
Terrific teflon tech, but...
Sell low, buy high agony continues
Thrills, spills, and potential market chills
Defying gravity
Fear smoked
Chase it until it breaks
Positioning, Convexity and P/L pain
Wobbly big tech
Rougher times ahead?
The fA(I)de
Could rising bond volatility stir the SPX?
Shaken, not stirred (yet)
Three "fear" charts we are watching
Teflon tech defies rates
Notable divergences
It's like déjà vu all over again
Positioning: "Is the glass half full or half empty?"
Battle of the Bulge: Macro bears try to strike back
TME Weekend: 9 things you might have missed
Front-running July
A lot of "likes"
You cannot keep a good bull down
Tourette type of market
Beware the aggressive seller
TME Weekend: Will Wagner wake VIX?
Welcome to upside down
Down - mission impossible
From housing horror to housing hopes
The reversal?
If we do not have a pullback now we never will
Too much too fast
Time to move more freely
It is getting extremely extreme
TME Weekend: Some might say...
Beyond the triple witch
The options boom
When the 1999 mania looks poor
Teflon AI
Life after FOMC
Laggards, crap & underdogs were not there yet
Better than 1999
Are we there yet? Holy crap!
Pre FOMC FOMO
Are we there yet? The volatility angle
Are we there yet?
(Ir)rational exuberance
TME Saturday: Disco 2000
New bull, soaring greed and affordable hedges
Too fearless: time for some VIX calls
10 reasons why we are shorting the market here
Happy days
Finally: exuberant bulls and receding bears
VIX and it's immunity
Tech - life after the melt up
Just a pause...or will it lead to frustration?
Revival of the underdogs
Are we there yet?
Overbought tech needs a pause
Right tail still wagging dog investors
Tech surge leaves fear behind
Melt-up ménage à trois
Violently fearless
It is beginning to look a lot like FOMO
Look up
Where are we in this bubble?
Fall without the fear
Last time this happened...
China's reopening from hell
Beyond parabolic: NYFANG mimics August 2020 tech fever
Mighty Tech: Overbought but can get more overbought
Stubborn Euro longs face a resilient dollar comeback
Beyond the deal
Tech on steroids: AI the savior, or?
A narrow tech decoupling
Some 00/01 reminiscence
All about NVDA...and some more
3 charts we are watching: Finally FOMO?
"Fat and flat" mania
Cracks beneath the surface
Three charts we are watching
Cracks in the Great Wall
Time to talk about the NASDAQ long
Signs of exuberance: we had a few but....
TME Weekend: Lowest in 20 years
Narrow rally as liquidity peaks
Melt-up momentum
Tech titans skyrocket: dancing on the edge of overheating
Frustration mania as we climb the wall of worry
Finally some moves
Underdog rising: could small caps revive?
From tech highs to debt ceiling and tail risks
Gold breaks supports and CTAs need to sell size
Boredom and bears
Can we please move?
Flat & Flat
TME Sunday: Much ado about nothing
TME Sunday: Much ado about nothing
TME Saturday: Either or
Better than 1999
Liquidity, downside convexity and hot short volatility sellers
One stock: 3rd largest stock market in the world
The "what if" bull
Bullish charts, bearish crowd
Dollar - the comeback kid
Range-bound mania
Big Tech & MOVEs
Warnings signs, but what if...
How to play the "No good option"
The new panic: fear of calm markets
Still stuck in the mud
Size selling in time for the buyback bonanza
Here is why we are so flat
Sell low, buy high market is alive
Gold regains status as fear hedge, but...
Market faces systematic selling and renewed liquidity tightening
Oil rollercoaster: navigating volatility and range trading opportunities
Pow(OI)elld
KRE: The latest thoughts from the sell-side
MOVEs are back
Anatomy of a 1-day sell-off
Is NASDAQ immune?
Goldilocks market?
VIX seasonality: will debt limit impact volatility?
This new bull market has a name (and a mega-theme)
Can narrow market breadth sustain equities rally
April's fab five
Three charts we are watching
Welcome to (tech) upside panic
Unstoppable tech?
Puts comeback, mega-cap crowding concerns...but buybacks are kicking in soon
If it goes down a little it can go down a lot
Finally some moves
Big troubles in little China?
Taking a ride on the flat-line
Flat & Flat
The debt ceiling debacle: Could it derail the 2023 bull?
TME Weekend: Boring for longer
Boredom persists, but downside convexity is back
Post-expiry: going to move more freely
Three reasons for why there could be some further downside
Sell low, buy high crowd is long
Trapped - volatility, liquidity, and seasonality to shape the next move
Massively unchanged (again)
Debt ceiling jitters rattle markets and liquidity
Squeeze Pause - Back to "Flat & Fat"
Sell in May?
Slow-mo frustration
Say hello to inverse panic - VIX guy is back
Charts we are watching: the mighty euro
All quiet on the market (or squeeze) front
TME Weekend: Squeeze 5.0
Three "risky" charts to watch
The Bitcoin bid
Have no fear?
Potential squeeze 4.0: Extreme positioning in banks
"Too damn short". Squeeze 3.0
Inverse panic kicking in
Too damn short 2.0
Upside FOMO - next pain trade?
Use low volatility for directional trades
Waiting for the next direction
Reflections on Tech technicals
Still too many "damn shorts"?
