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From "sad September" to "optimistic October"
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TME Daily: Hedgies retreat, tech tanks and energy's blaze
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TME Daily: Hedgies retreat, tech tanks and energy's blaze
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Rates Rock and Roll: America no better than Greece
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3 charts we are watching: Systematic Tsunami
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Market's wake-up call
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3 charts we are watching: Make or break
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VIX awakens
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Volatility - the dormant beast
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3 charts we are watching: Oil reversing
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We need to talk about inflation...
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TME daily: Prime time for affordable hedging
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3 charts we are watching: What is the next delta in housing?
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10 things you need to know about the oil rally
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High conviction neutral
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3 charts we are watching: tired generals
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TME weekend: Tech unraveling, cheap hedges and oil chasing
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The 12 things you need to know on investor positioning
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Is today the start of VIX perfection?
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3 charts we are watching: what are we actually trading?
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Fear in freefall
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Incremental reasons to try a contrarian long in China
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3 charts we are watching: bond volatility at 7 months low
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AI aristocracy, Russell roulette and luxury's double-edged sword
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A few more weeks of weaker seasonality and then a year-end melt-up?
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Oil mania
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3 charts we are watching: Remember, VIX seasonality starts now
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Oops on inflation
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TME daily: chasing fa(i)t
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"It is so wrong that it might actually be right"
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MoJo in the DoJo: Musk has the world in an Anakonda Chokehold
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3 charts we are watching: Squeeze potential; really?
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TME Weekend: You come at the king, you best not miss
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Fat is the new gold
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Stuck in no man's land
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Fade or fad
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Enjoy it while it lasts, 'cause it never does
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Frustration running high
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Sudden fear: As Apple goes…
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Butterfly effects? Risk is global
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Riding the rate rollercoaster
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Europe: You would not believe it
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That massive disconnect from rates. Why is it so?
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"You buy protection when you can, not when you must"
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Yield puzzles, oil sizzles and 4800 dreamzzz
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Are we ready to party like it is 1999?
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Bond MOVEs and tech trust
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Landing me softly: Earnings now a backstop for equities
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TME Weekend: I have abandoned my fear
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Black gold booms
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3 oil charts we are watching
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Puts tumbling, oil teasing and QT thundering
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Calm waters all of September?
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From bears to bulls to AI booms
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Trend trauma - massive systematic flow
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Time for gold
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From oversold to overdrive
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Inverse panic mania in volatility
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3 charts we are watching: contrarian in bonds
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Fearless VIX is back
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Crowded tech crowd
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3 charts we are watching: crashing fear
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TME Weekend: All caught up
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Do we add this one to the textbooks?
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Nasty NASDAQ
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4 charts we are watching in volatility land
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NVDA: "the time to worry is not now...."
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NASDAQ loving it
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Rates vs equities at an extreme
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Can tech dismiss rising rates?
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3 random charts we are watching
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Extreme sentiment swings
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Only 5% down and some things flashing oversold already…
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Crying China
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TME Weekend: Tail risks
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Meadow Lane mellow
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Meadow Lane mellow
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It's like déjà vu all over again
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5 charts we are watching: Cash is not Trash
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Nobody knows nothing
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"this is no longer a buy-the-dip market"
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Never bet against the American family formation
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Fast money & systematic sellers hit the structural bid
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She moves in mysterious ways
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Are we wrong not to be max long?
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Re-grossing again. Positioning at the 99th percentile
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TME Weekend: Extremely many "extremes"
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Some stuff is hot (again) and some is not
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Intraday volatility surge intensifies market risks
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No longer muted
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The rally is over
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Tactical headwinds
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Market teasing with big levels
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Green shoots of fear
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CTA & vol control funds reflect extreme downside convexity
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Market in agony and pain
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Apple matters
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Rates matter
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TME Weekend: "Not a rosy picture"
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Cracks in the market
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Stressed on a Friday
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Rates mania...and potential equity selling
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No panic here (yet)
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Volatility spikes as fear returns
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Beyond the downgrade...
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Dollar, rates and the MOVE(s)
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Say hello to August
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Alpha agony and the "inevitable" pullback
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The long is longer
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SPX bull, euro pitfalls, and China's wildcard
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The bull run's new normal
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Muted earnings cheers, inflation puzzles and a China squeeze
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Optimism or complacency - hedge it
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Hated hot banks
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Crowded trades, retail frenzy and the pain trade
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Fearless FOMC
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The long is very long
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Crude awakening
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Chip slip and the tech tumble
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The China shit-show no one saw coming
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Here we go housing
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Tech cools, retail rages and some madness
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Even "revolutions" need to take a break
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Evaporated bears
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Inverted fear
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There is always a squeeze somewhere
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Here we go housing
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Volatility and the "natural" floor
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Cash flood, beta surge and the recession ghost
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Sentiment and positioning: stretched is the new normal
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"Implied Bid" defies overbought markets
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Terrific teflon tech, but...
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Sell low, buy high agony continues
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Thrills, spills, and potential market chills
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Defying gravity
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Fear smoked
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Chase it until it breaks
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Positioning, Convexity and P/L pain
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Wobbly big tech
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Rougher times ahead?
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The fA(I)de
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Could rising bond volatility stir the SPX?
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Shaken, not stirred (yet)
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Three "fear" charts we are watching
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Teflon tech defies rates
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Notable divergences
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It's like déjà vu all over again
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Positioning: "Is the glass half full or half empty?"
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Battle of the Bulge: Macro bears try to strike back
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TME Weekend: 9 things you might have missed
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Front-running July
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A lot of "likes"
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You cannot keep a good bull down
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Tourette type of market
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Beware the aggressive seller
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TME Weekend: Will Wagner wake VIX?
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Welcome to upside down
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Down - mission impossible
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From housing horror to housing hopes
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The reversal?
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If we do not have a pullback now we never will
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Too much too fast
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Time to move more freely
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It is getting extremely extreme
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TME Weekend: Some might say...
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Beyond the triple witch
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The options boom
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When the 1999 mania looks poor
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Teflon AI
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Life after FOMC
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Laggards, crap & underdogs were not there yet
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Better than 1999
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Are we there yet? Holy crap!
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Pre FOMC FOMO
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Are we there yet? The volatility angle
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Are we there yet?
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(Ir)rational exuberance
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TME Saturday: Disco 2000
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New bull, soaring greed and affordable hedges
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Too fearless: time for some VIX calls
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10 reasons why we are shorting the market here
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Happy days
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Finally: exuberant bulls and receding bears
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VIX and it's immunity
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Tech - life after the melt up
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Just a pause...or will it lead to frustration?
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Revival of the underdogs
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Are we there yet?
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Overbought tech needs a pause
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Right tail still wagging dog investors
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Tech surge leaves fear behind
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Melt-up ménage à trois
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Violently fearless
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It is beginning to look a lot like FOMO
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Look up
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Where are we in this bubble?
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Fall without the fear
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Last time this happened...
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China's reopening from hell
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Beyond parabolic: NYFANG mimics August 2020 tech fever
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Mighty Tech: Overbought but can get more overbought
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Stubborn Euro longs face a resilient dollar comeback
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Beyond the deal
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Tech on steroids: AI the savior, or?
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A narrow tech decoupling
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Some 00/01 reminiscence
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All about NVDA...and some more
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3 charts we are watching: Finally FOMO?
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"Fat and flat" mania
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Cracks beneath the surface
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Three charts we are watching
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Cracks in the Great Wall
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Time to talk about the NASDAQ long
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Signs of exuberance: we had a few but....
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TME Weekend: Lowest in 20 years
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Narrow rally as liquidity peaks
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Melt-up momentum
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Tech titans skyrocket: dancing on the edge of overheating
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Frustration mania as we climb the wall of worry
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Finally some moves
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Underdog rising: could small caps revive?
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From tech highs to debt ceiling and tail risks
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Gold breaks supports and CTAs need to sell size
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Boredom and bears
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Can we please move?
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Flat & Flat
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TME Sunday: Much ado about nothing
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TME Sunday: Much ado about nothing
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TME Saturday: Either or
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Better than 1999
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Liquidity, downside convexity and hot short volatility sellers
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One stock: 3rd largest stock market in the world
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The "what if" bull
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Bullish charts, bearish crowd
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Dollar - the comeback kid
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Range-bound mania
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Big Tech & MOVEs
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Warnings signs, but what if...
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How to play the "No good option"
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The new panic: fear of calm markets
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Still stuck in the mud
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Size selling in time for the buyback bonanza
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Here is why we are so flat
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Sell low, buy high market is alive
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Gold regains status as fear hedge, but...
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Market faces systematic selling and renewed liquidity tightening
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Oil rollercoaster: navigating volatility and range trading opportunities
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Pow(OI)elld
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KRE: The latest thoughts from the sell-side
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MOVEs are back
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Anatomy of a 1-day sell-off
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Is NASDAQ immune?
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Goldilocks market?
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VIX seasonality: will debt limit impact volatility?
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This new bull market has a name (and a mega-theme)
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Can narrow market breadth sustain equities rally
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April's fab five
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Three charts we are watching
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Welcome to (tech) upside panic
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Unstoppable tech?
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Puts comeback, mega-cap crowding concerns...but buybacks are kicking in soon
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If it goes down a little it can go down a lot
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Finally some moves
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Big troubles in little China?
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Taking a ride on the flat-line
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Flat & Flat
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The debt ceiling debacle: Could it derail the 2023 bull?
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TME Weekend: Boring for longer
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Boredom persists, but downside convexity is back
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Post-expiry: going to move more freely
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Three reasons for why there could be some further downside
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Sell low, buy high crowd is long
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Trapped - volatility, liquidity, and seasonality to shape the next move
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Massively unchanged (again)
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Debt ceiling jitters rattle markets and liquidity
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Squeeze Pause - Back to "Flat & Fat"
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Sell in May?
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Slow-mo frustration
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Say hello to inverse panic - VIX guy is back
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Charts we are watching: the mighty euro
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All quiet on the market (or squeeze) front
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TME Weekend: Squeeze 5.0
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Three "risky" charts to watch
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The Bitcoin bid
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Have no fear?
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Potential squeeze 4.0: Extreme positioning in banks
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"Too damn short". Squeeze 3.0
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Inverse panic kicking in
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Too damn short 2.0
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Upside FOMO - next pain trade?
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Use low volatility for directional trades
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Waiting for the next direction
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Reflections on Tech technicals
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Still too many "damn shorts"?
